Incorporate new findings about replication success

[LukasRoeseler]

• Bayesian criteria for large-scale projects: https://oaktrust.library.tamu.edu/items/23542280-7b66-4fab-91eb-71af62109c49
• Decline bias: https://github.com/richarddmorey/decline_bias/blob/main/text/sections/02_decline.Rmd